Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.055984 0.065434 0.075964 0.088561 0.103222 0.119746 0.139786
2025-09-28 0.039818 0.051670 0.066277 0.085592 0.110459 0.141404 0.182861
2025-10-05 0.032295 0.045388 0.062813 0.087677 0.122242 0.168604 0.235574
2025-10-12 0.026864 0.040318 0.059392 0.088365 0.131255 0.192427 0.286403
2025-10-19 0.022832 0.036271 0.056393 0.088657 0.139081 0.214905 0.337737
2025-10-26 0.019995 0.033417 0.054517 0.090020 0.148252 0.240031 0.395886
2025-11-02 0.018006 0.031517 0.053720 0.092751 0.159640 0.269660 0.464647
2025-11-09 0.015350 0.028054 0.049812 0.089657 0.160792 0.282536 0.507061
2025-11-16 0.013603 0.025882 0.047740 0.089321 0.166434 0.303372 0.565426
2025-11-23 0.012059 0.023833 0.045570 0.088433 0.170828 0.322325 0.622507
2025-11-30 0.011073 0.022686 0.044872 0.090130 0.180115 0.351070 0.701080
2025-12-07 0.009902 0.020999 0.042909 0.089080 0.183906 0.369794 0.762503
2025-12-14 0.008727 0.019158 0.040447 0.086794 0.185119 0.384010 0.817575
2025-12-21 0.007666 0.017406 0.037935 0.084072 0.185092 0.395768 0.869257
2025-12-28 0.007158 0.016784 0.037703 0.086156 0.195480 0.430175 0.973132
2026-01-04 0.006593 0.015947 0.036890 0.086839 0.202860 0.459012 1.068441
2026-01-11 0.006061 0.015112 0.035964 0.087127 0.209357 0.486635 1.164431
2026-01-18 0.005657 0.014521 0.035519 0.088467 0.218441 0.521089 1.280456
2026-01-25 0.005373 0.014186 0.035630 0.091151 0.231053 0.565127 1.424686
2026-02-01 0.004789 0.013004 0.033536 0.088110 0.229254 0.574848 1.486557
2026-02-08 0.004412 0.012310 0.032564 0.087780 0.234209 0.601491 1.593997
2026-02-15 0.004046 0.011594 0.031442 0.086908 0.237647 0.624745 1.695649
2026-02-22 0.003831 0.011262 0.031280 0.088575 0.247996 0.666756 1.851695